Impact of diurnal temperature variations on
hospitalization due to cardiovascular and respiratory diseases in Rafsanjan,
Iran,
in 2008-2013
Hassanlouei B, MSc1,
Rezaeian M, PhD2, Sheikh-Fathollahi M, PhD 3, Vazirinejad
R, PhD*4
1-
Researcher, Solid Tumor Research Center, Urmia University Of Medical Science,
Urmia, Iran. 2- Professor, Epidemiologist, Social Medicine Department,
Occupational Environmental Research Center, Rafsanjan Medical School, Rafsanjan
University of Medical Sciences, Rafsanjan, Iran. 3- Assistant Prof., Dept. of
Social Medicine, Rafsanjan University of Medical Sciences, Rafsanjan, Iran 4- Professor,
Dept. of Social Medicine, Rafsanjan University of Medical Sciences, Rafsanjan,
Iran.
Abstract Received: December 2014, Accepted: February 2015
Background: Changes in global temperature and its health
effects have recently been under much investigated. Consequently, these
changes have affected mortality and morbidity rates which are important
public health indices. The present study examines the effect of mean
temperature on the frequency of hospitalization due to cardiovascular and
respiratory diseases in Ali Ibn Abi Talib Hospital of Rafsanjan, Iran. Materials and Methods: In this ecological study, data on hospitalization
were gathered from electronic systems of hospitals and the data from the
weather organizations were extracted from the weather station. All patients
not living in Rafsanjan were excluded. Data were entered into SPSS and SAS
software and the association between mean temperature and hospitalization
frequency were analyzed using Poisson regression models. Results: A
negative significant association was found between mean temperature and mean
number of hospitalizations due to cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. By
each 1 °C decrease in mean temperature, the mean number of hospitalizations
due to cardiovascular and respiratory diseases increased by 1% (95% CI;
0.63-1.26%) and 4.33% (95% CI; 4-4.64%), respectively. For cardiovascular
diseases, there was no significant difference in mean number of admissions
based on different age groups. However, in the 0-4-year age group, the mean
number of hospitalizations due to respiratory diseases was significantly
higher than the other age groups. For both cardiovascular and respiratory
diseases, there was no significant difference between females and males in
terms of the mean number of hospitalizations. Conclusions: Reduction in mean temperature, in the present
study, increased the mean number of hospitalizations due to cardiovascular
and respiratory diseases and it was stronger for respiratory diseases.
According to these findings, people who are at risk of cardiovascular and
respiratory diseases should be forbidden from exposure to extremely cold
temperatures. |
Keywords: Temperature,
Cardiovascular diseases, Respiratory diseases, Iran
Introduction
Recently, there has been an
increasing trend in public concerns about changes in the Earth's environment
and its effects on human health (1, 2). During the past century, the average
surface temperature of the Earth has increased at the rate of 2 °C secure threshold
(1). One of the harmful effects of ambient temperature changes is its impact on
the increase in disease burden that is very important from the perspective of
public health (3-7). The*World Health
Organization (WHO) has estimated more than 150,000 deaths per year due to the
impact of these changes for the past three decades (8). Many previous and
recent studies have shown that cold and warm ambient temperatures are relevant
to increased risk of cardiovascular diseases and respiratory morbidity (6, 9-23).
Moreover, in many countries, a survey of hospitalization and emergency data has
shown that ambient temperature variations affect the number and type of
hospitalized patients (24-28).
More studies on the effects of
ambient temperature on cardiovascular and respiratory diseases morbidity have
been conducted in developed countries that have cold weather such as North
American and European counties (4). Furthermore, few studies have been
conducted in developing countries such as Iran that mostly have tropical and
subtropical climates. Review of literature revealed that ambient temperature in
different parts of the world has different effects on the occurrence of these
two important groups of diseases and the obtained results of different
countries and diverse research proposals have not required homogeneity for
overall decision making of all climate zones of world (4, 29, 30).
Thus, the aim of the present study
was to investigate the effect of temperature on the frequency of
hospitalization due to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases in Ali Ibn Abi
Talib (pbh) Hospital in Rafsanjan, Iran, from 2008 to
2013.
Materials and Methods
This was an ecological study. The
studied samples included all patients hospitalized due to cardiovascular
(I00-I55) and respiratory diseases (J00-J99) in Ali Ibn Abi Talib (pbh) Hospital in
Rafsanjan from April 1, 2008 to January 30, 2013.
All admitted patients who were not inhabitants of one of the
villages or towns of Rafsanjan or were referred from another town to Ali Ibn
Abi Talib (pbh) Hospital
were excluded from this study. Information about the climate and its changes
were extracted from the weather bureau stations of Rafsanjan. It should be
noted that the samples were divided into 6 age groups of 0-4, 5-14, 15-64,
65-74, 75-79, and 80 years and higher (according to previous studies and
conventional medical divisions) to determine the exact effect of age. The
collected data were coded and entered into SPSS software (version 21.0; SPSS
Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) and SAS software (version 9.1; SAS Institute, Cary, NC,
USA). The applied statistical model was the generalized linear model (GLM).
Results
Age and sex distribution of patients
hospitalized due to cardiovascular and respiratory diseases has been presented
in table 1. Most previous studies have examined only special subgroups of these
two groups of studied patients (4).
Table 1: Age and sex
distribution of those hospitalized due to cardiovascular and respiratory
diseases (group and subgroup)
Respiratory |
Cardiovascular |
Disease
Group Age Group |
||
Female |
Male |
Female |
Male |
|
647
(16.1%) |
927
(20.2%) |
37
(0.8%) |
31
(0.6%) |
0-4 |
190
(4.7%) |
250
(5.5%) |
13
(0.3%) |
16
(0.3%) |
5-14 |
1679
(41.8%) |
1703
(37.2%) |
2223
(48.9%) |
3117
(62%) |
15-64 |
543
(13.5%) |
626
(13.7%) |
1106 (13.3%) |
915
(17.9%) |
65-74 |
386
(9.6%) |
423
(9.2%) |
606
(13.3%) |
473
(9.3%) |
75-79 |
573
(14.3%) |
650
(14.2%) |
562
(12.4%) |
506
(9.9%) |
80
and higher |
4018
(100%) |
4579
(100%) |
4547
(100%) |
5112
(100%) |
Total |
Table 2: Percent change of hospitalization due to
cardiovascular and respiratory diseases associated with a 1 °C variation
P |
%
change (95% CI) |
|
< 0.001 |
-1.00 (-1.26 to -0.63) |
Total
Cardiovascular |
0.0335 |
-0.73 (-1.41 to -0.05) |
Angina
pectoris |
0.1128 |
-0.83 (-1.842 to 0. 20) |
Acute
myocardial infarction |
0.0242 |
-0.59 (-1.10 to -0.08) |
Ischemic heart
disease |
< 0.001 |
-2.56 (-3.58 to -1.53) |
Heart failure |
< 0.001 |
-4.34 (-4.64 to -4.02) |
Total
respiratory |
< 0.001 |
-3.78 (-4.93 to -2.63) |
Asthma |
< 0.001 |
-5.47 (-5.97 to -4.97) |
Influenza and
pneumonia |
However,
a number of studies have examined important subgroups in addition to main
groups (22, 29). In this study, the fitness results of the regression model
have been presented for both gropes of cardiovascular and respiratory diseases,
and for important subgroups. These results are shown in table 2.
Table 3: Percent change of hospitalization due to
cardiovascular and respiratory diseases in males and females associated with a
1 °C variation
Total
respiratory |
Total
cardiovascular |
|
||
P |
%
change (95% CI) |
P-Value |
%
change (95% CI) |
|
< 0.001 |
-4.47 (-4.89 to -4.05) |
< 0.001 |
-1.26 (-1.69 to -0.84) |
Male |
< 0.001 |
-4.17 (-4.62 to -3.71) |
0.0155 |
-0.58 (-1.04 to -0.11) |
Female |
In addition, to clarify the influence
of important modifiers such as age and sex, the fitness results of the
regression model are shown in tables 3 and 4. The presented results in tables 1
to 4 indicate that mean temperature has an inverse relationship with mean
number of cardiovascular and respiratory diseases.
Table 4: Percent change of hospitalization due to
cardiovascular and respiratory diseases in age groups associated with a 1 °C
variation
Total
respiratory |
Total
cardiovascular |
|
||
P |
%
change (95% CI) |
P-Value |
%
change (95% CI) |
|
< 0.001 |
-9.9 (-10.59 to -9.21) |
* |
* |
0-4 |
< 0.001 |
-5.61 (-6.97 to -4.22) |
* |
* |
5-14 |
< 0.001 |
-3.10 (-3.60 to -2.59) |
< 0.001 |
-1.03 (-1.44 to -0.6) |
15-64 |
< 0.001 |
-3.02 (-3.90 to -2.14) |
0.1959 |
-0.46 (-1.16 to 0.24) |
65-74 |
< 0.001 |
-2.61 (-3.51 to -1.98) |
0.0325 |
-1.02 (-1.94 to -0.08) |
75-79 |
< 0.001 |
-2.57 (-3.40 to -1.73) |
0.0033 |
-1.42 (-2.35 to -0.47) |
80
and higher |
* Because of shortage of
hospitalization number the model fitting was not possible
Discussion
Cardiovascular diseases
The obtained results of this research
showed that cold weather can cause an increased risk of hospitalization due to
cardiovascular diseases in this region. In a study conducted in Copenhagen,
Denmark, it was observed that cardiovascular disease is inversely related to
temperature (30). In another study conducted in Shanghai, China, similar
results were obtained (7). The mechanism of cold temperature in increasing the
risk of cardiovascular diseases is still unclear (31). However, several risk
factors, such as plasma cholesterol, plasma fibrinogen, blood pressure, and red
and white blood cell count, can partially explain this mechanism (30). The
study by Michelozzi et al., which examined the relationship between temperature
and hospitalizations due to cardiovascular disease in 12 different countries in
Europe, showed that temperature has a direct relationship with the
hospitalization due to cardiovascular diseases (29). This finding was not in
agreement with the results of the present study. Furthermore, the results of this
study were consistent with that of the study performed in Beijing (32).
Investigation of the relationship between temperature and daily hospitalization
rate due to cardiovascular disease in the 4 major cities of South Korea showed
that daily ambient temperature increased hospitalizations rate for this group
of patients (22). The results of this study are consistent with the results of
the present study. The main mechanism of the adverse effects of high
temperatures may through the blood circulation system of the human body heat in
regulating body temperature, when the layers beneath the skin send blood to the
vital organs. It also increases blood
viscosity due to diarrhea, excessive sweating, and increased cholesterol
levels; other possible mechanisms can also be considered (15, 33).The age-adjusted relationship (one of the most important predictors) between
temperature and the mean number of hospitalizations was evaluated in this
study. The results of this study suggest that there is no significant difference
among different age groups in hospitalization due to cardiovascular disease. A
study in Denmark showed no differences among age groups of patients (30). These
results were consistent with our findings. The findings of other studies in
China, South Korea, and America showed that patients older than 70 years were
significantly lower compared with other age groups (22, 32, 34). These findings
were consistent with the results of the present study. Elderly patients’ weak
physiological systems and inability in environmental adaptation are some of the
factors that causes sensitivity to drastic ambient temperature changes and
increased hospitalization in this age group (15, 20, 35-39). Gender is another
deflator which was examined. The results showed no significant difference
between males and females in terms of the mean number of hospitalizations due
to cardiovascular disease. These results were consistent with findings from
studies in America, England, and France (40-42). However, another study showed
higher risk of coronary events in women than in men in hot weather (43). These
results are consistent with the findings of the present study.
Many
studies have evaluated cardiovascular diseases as their major groups (4). This
study also examined the major categories of cardiovascular disease. In this
study, the relationship between mean temperature and mean number of
hospitalizations due to acute myocardial infarction was not significant. This
is consistent with the results found in the literature review. The obtained
results from myocardial infarction patients in Melbourne, Australia, showed
that the number of hospitalizations due to this disease increases with the
decreasing of temperature (44). In this regard, studies in Taiwan, Germany, the
UK, and Norway have also been obtained (45-48). The results of another study
conducted in the UK, were contradictory to the mentioned studies. In this study,
it was shown that hospitalization due to acute myocardial infarction
significantly increased as a result of the increase in temperature (49). The
heterogeneity in results may be described in any particular area of environment
(45).
Another
important subgroup of cardiovascular diseases is angina pectoris, which was examined in this study. The
results showed that the mean temperature decreases hospitalization. A study in
California, USA, showed that the decline in temperature causes an increase in
the minimum threshold for hospitalization due to angina pectoris (34).
This finding was in agreement with the results of the present study. Ischemic heart
disease and other cardiovascular diseases are subgroups of the main studied
groups. The results showed a relationship between the average number of
patients and mean temperature. This is consistent with the results obtained
from literature review. Survey data obtained in California, USA, in terms of
hospitalization showed a direct relationship between temperature and mean
number of hospitalizations due to strokes (20). The last group of
cardiovascular disease that was studied had heart failure results of studies in
South Korea and was consistent with another study in America (22, 50). In the
present study, mean temperature was found to be inversely related to mean
number of hospitalizations due to this disease. The literature review showed
that previous study results are consistent with the findings of the present
study. A study in the state of New York, USA, showed that there is a direct
relationship between temperature and hospitalizations due to heart failure
(51). These results are consistent with findings of studies conducted by Green
et al. and Ostro et al. (20, 50).
Respiratory
disease
The results showed
that mean temperature is inversely related to hospitalization due to
respiratory diseases. A study conducted in Finland, in
2009, showed that temperature and hospitalization due to respiratory diseases
have a significant relationship (52). These results were consistent with the
findings of the studies performed in Shanghai, China, and Taiwan (7, 28). A
study conducted in 12 cities in Europe yielded mixed results. The study
findings highlight the fact that the rate of hospitalization due to respiratory
disease increases with the increasing of temperature (29). These results were
also reported by Ostro et al., Lin et al., Green et al., and Wang et al. (20,
32, 50, 53). It should be noted that the exact mechanism of hot and cold
ambient temperatures on physiological systems remains unknown. These diseases
may be directly caused by inflammation of airway responsiveness due to
temperature or indirectly by viral infections, pollens, air pollution, mold,
number of hours spent outdoors, and activities that aggravate the disease (22,
26, 54). The results for different age groups showed that the rate of
hospitalization due to respiratory disease is significantly higher in the
0-4-year age group than other age groups. These results were consistent with
the findings of a study conducted in the USA in 2007 (55). In addition, another
study in Europe showed that a significantly higher number of patients in the
age group of higher than 75 years were hospitalized (29). These findings were
consistent with that of the present study.
The results of
this study showed no significant difference in the mean number of
hospitalizations due to respiratory disease between the sexes. In literature
review, no study was found
to consider differences among sexes. Asthma is one of the most common types of
respiratory diseases that were examined in this study. Results of this study
show that with increasing temperature, the mean number of hospitalizations due
to this disease significantly reduced. These findings were consistent with the
results of studies conducted in Greece and Finland (52, 56). In two studies in
the states of North Carolina and New York in the USA, a direct relationship was
observed between rising temperatures and increased hospitalization due to this
disease (26, 51). These results were consistent with the results of our study.
Pneumonia and influenza are other respiratory diseases that are among the major
groups studied. The findings of this study showed that the mean number of
hospitalizations due to these conditions is related to average temperatures.
The results of this study were consistent with that of two studies performed in
China and Taiwan (28, 57). These results were
also consistent with findings of the present study. Cold weather increases
population density and reduces air conditioning and this may cause infectious
diseases, and pneumonia and influenza by direct contact transmission (20, 50).
The results of studies that examined the relationship between ambient
temperature and hospitalizations due to cardiovascular and respiratory diseases
with different designs and in different countries and cities were not
homogeneous. This may be because people in different
parts of the world may not have the same tolerance level to certain climates
that have adapted their residences (45). Aside from the mentioned geographic
heterogeneity of studies, examining the relationship between temperature and
hospitalizations due to cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, there are
other factors that can be effective in this heterogeneity. For example, the
probability of acceptance for a particular disease may be have different
reasons such as the availability of primary care, outpatient services for
patients, community care area level socioeconomic deprivation, and community
associated clinical management (29).
Conclusions
Our
study showed that reduction in mean temperature has been associated with
increasing the mean number of hospitalizations due to cardiovascular and
respiratory diseases. This association was very strong for respiratory diseases
compared to for
cardiovascular diseases. According to our findings, people who suffer from cardiovascular
and respiratory diseases should be forbidden from exposure to extremely cold
temperatures. In case of as a significant reduction in environment temperatures
the health system should warn at risk people and children's.
Acknowledgement
We would like thank Rafsanjan University of Medical Sciences for their
cooperation in carrying out this research.
Conflict of
interests: None declared.
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*
Corresponding
author:
Reza Vazirinejad, Professor, Dept. of Social Medicine, Rafsanjan University of
Medical Sciences, Rafsanjan, Iran.
Email Address: rvazirinejad@yahoo.co.uk